PULSE · WAVE · DRONE · H(t) Nominal vs Effective · Stress Divergence Gap · Liquidity Stratification · Live Capture Events
Oscillatory Bands
Stress Sensitivity
1.0×
Controls how aggressively Effective H(t) diverges from Nominal under stress. 1.0× = base model. Higher values reflect faster institutional unmasking.
Live Metrics at Cursor
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H(t) nominal
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H(t) effective
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Φ vitality
Stress Divergence Gap
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Tap chart to read. Gap = difference between system's claimed contact surface and its stress-revealed surface. Wider gap = larger portion of apparent liquidity is illusory.
Tap any event to navigate. Gold = confirmed historical. Green = live provisional — architectural significance unconfirmed by retrospective distance.
Historical
Live 2026 ◉ PROVISIONAL
What You're Looking At
H(t) Nominal — Contact ratio as conventionally measured. The long arc of structural health including all confirmed capture events. What the system claims to be.
H(t) Effective — Contact ratio stress-revealed. Under normal conditions tracks Nominal closely. Under stress conditions diverges sharply downward as liquidity stratification unmasks illusory surface. What the system actually is under pressure.
Divergence Gap — The filled region between Nominal and Effective H(t). Width represents the quantity of apparent contact surface that is illusory — gated, captured, or structurally unavailable under stress. Wider gap = larger portion of the system's apparent health is fictional.
S(t) Stress Indicator — Composite of volatility clustering across asset classes, redemption gate events, and cross-border capital flow reversals. Drives the divergence between Nominal and Effective H(t). No actor assumptions — only structural asymmetry measurement.
Live 2026 Events — Provisional capture event markers. Same class as confirmed historical events but without retrospective distance. Green dashed lines. Currently: Private Credit Spillover (Feb 2026), Liquidity Stratification Gate (Feb 2026), Iran War Institutional Bypass (Mar 2026).
H_c Threshold — Bifurcation threshold. Above: system self-corrects. Below: every intervention required to prevent collapse, each intervention further degrades the system. Evidence suggests crossed 1971–1987.
The Core New Insight
The existing model measured structural health as a single number. This version reveals that the single number has two faces — what the system appears to be, and what it reveals itself to be when stress forces honest accounting. The gap between those two faces is the variable conventional analysis never measures. It is currently at its widest recorded reading.